03-26-2020, 07:10 PMGeekusoid Wrote:

03-26-2020, 07:06 PMRomanesEuntDomus Wrote: No.


You seem to assume that we are guaranteed to get the wrong person with the lynching, which I don't agree with at all. And even if we picked the wrong person we a) get some info in the process and b) he can still survive if he makes a good case for himself, for example by hinting at a role, and we decide to retract our votes. The chances of actually hitting a crucial role like the Seer with this are much, much slimmer than hitting a Wolf, and the Seer could still reveal himself in that case and survive. My main point is, if we don't do anything tonight, then how are we in any better situation to make a decision tomorrow? Or is it like the new "meta" of the game to play it suuuuuper slow, avoid lynchings altogether and just hope that all the important roles gather information faster than the wolves kill ppl over night?

And yeah I know that there are more investigatory roles but the Seer is the only really reliable one imho, as the lookout and escort only work in very limited capacity. Plus we don't know how many of these three roles are even in the game, while we are guaranteed to have 4-5 wolves. And regarding the snipes, I've seen quite a lot of those in the past tbh, not just from the Executioner but also from Jesters or people with other roles who just prefer to play a "wildcard" style of game, be it wolf or villager.

Just to make it clear, I'm not absolutely dead set on lynching anything right away, I just generally think it's the smarter approach. We already getting some info just by talking about it, like arty making some good logical points even if I might not agree with all of them.

So what your saying is....going for a lynching, we statistically have a better chance of a werewolf than not?

03-26-2020, 07:13 PMNhamlet Wrote:

03-26-2020, 07:10 PMGeekusoid Wrote: So what your saying is....going for a lynching, we statistically have a better chance of a werewolf than not?

Uh don't we have a 4/18 chance of getting a werewolf?

03-26-2020, 07:06 PMRomanesEuntDomus Wrote:

03-26-2020, 06:00 PMTnlAstatine Wrote: are you willing to take on the first lynching for the good of the masses?

No.

03-26-2020, 06:23 PMartermis Wrote:

If one gets so desperate to make a choice on day 2 or later, then it's generally more acceptable to begin to make pushes due to lack of activity or things said in the lack of hard evidence IMO

but I'd rather bank on luck that we get something done day 2 on evidence then lynch a role player Day 1


If we do lynch we wake up two men down and with less time to gather the facts.

If the game goes down to the wire (2v1 villagers-wws), then, in a village victory, there's 3-to-1 dead villagers to werewolves. If we lynch every day, such a game lasts 8 days, as opposed to the exact opposite of a game where we let the WWs kill 3 villagers for every wolf we lynch lasting 13 days.

I recognize the information that's gathered from lynchs as very important, and recognize that the ideal game is more so going to be in-between those two extremes, but every villager we kill is less time for us to win, and incredibly unfortunate if that villager had a role.

I feel that your response neglects that there are three investigatory roles, but also note that, for the same reasons you state, I'm not against lynching on any other day during the game.

"late snipes" are simply shows of the hand, save for the special case of the executioner, which I had not thought of.

In the end, I expect no lynches to be random, but to lynch people for slightly suspicious comments or inactivity this early seems to jump the gun far too early

You seem to assume that we are guaranteed to get the wrong person with the lynching, which I don't agree with at all. And even if we picked the wrong person we a) get some info in the process and b) he can still survive if he makes a good case for himself, for example by hinting at a role, and we decide to retract our votes. The chances of actually hitting a crucial role like the Seer with this are much, much slimmer than hitting a Wolf, and the Seer could still reveal himself in that case and survive. My main point is, if we don't do anything tonight, then how are we in any better situation to make a decision tomorrow? Or is it like the new "meta" of the game to play it suuuuuper slow, avoid lynchings altogether and just hope that all the important roles gather information faster than the wolves kill ppl over night?

And yeah I know that there are more investigatory roles but the Seer is the only really reliable one imho, as the lookout and escort only work in very limited capacity. Plus we don't know how many of these three roles are even in the game, while we are guaranteed to have 4-5 wolves. And regarding the snipes, I've seen quite a lot of those in the past tbh, not just from the Executioner but also from Jesters or people with other roles who just prefer to play a "wildcard" style of game, be it wolf or villager.

Just to make it clear, I'm not absolutely dead set on lynching anything right away, I just generally think it's the smarter approach. We already getting some info just by talking about it, like arty making some good logical points even if I might not agree with all of them.

03-26-2020, 07:45 PMjfisherr Wrote: I don’t think it’s luff or grum tbh

03-26-2020, 07:45 PMjfisherr Wrote: I don’t think it’s luff or grum tbh

03-26-2020, 07:46 PMluketd Wrote:

03-26-2020, 07:45 PMjfisherr Wrote: I don’t think it’s luff or grum tbh

who is it fish man

03-26-2020, 08:40 PMNhamlet Wrote: According to Quora that much sleeping is also sus