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+---- Thread: Werewolf Game 9 (/showthread.php?tid=104940)
RE: Werewolf Game 9 - fishy - 03-30-2020
03-30-2020, 05:23 PMTommySalami Wrote:Based on everything discussed before last night, these were the people he was picking between to be blocked:03-30-2020, 05:15 PMMutedfaith Wrote: Not a 1 in 12 chance, more like a 1 in 5.
And still, the wolves had a better chance of killing a villager with a useful role.
There was 12 other players other than Durden, Segi was dead and he saw RED and Fisher. So more like 1/10 I'm sorry. If he catches a wolf that doesn't matter. He needs to catch the alpha.
Nhamlet
MutedFaith
TnlAstatine
Sweg
Grum
TommySalami
notoriousTRON
These were everyone he hadn’t blocked and hadn’t declared roles, so more like a 1/7 chance he hit the alpha.
This was everyone alive last night the wolves could’ve struck:
@MutedfaithAlive
@TnlAstatineAlive
@スウェグキングAlive
@NhamletAlive
@notoriousTRONAlive
@HockeyIsCoolAlive
@GeekusoidAlive
@GrumAlive
@DurdenAlive
@TommySalamiAlive
@jfisherrAlive
@RED
The wolves know there was a doc, hunter, knight, possibly a lookout, possibly a seer, possibly a mayor. Let’s say the wolves trust geek and hockeyiscool and the roles they claim and so don’t want to go for them. There’s still possibly 2 betas and an alpha, so let’s remove the knight and hunter and the 3 wolves from the above list. That gives the wolves a 3/7 chance they hit a lookout, seer, or mayor, much higher than the escort getting the alpha right. Again, the odds aren’t in your favour.
Also, I hope this made sense lmfao. Being on mobile only atm sucks
RE: Werewolf Game 9 - Mutedfaith - 03-30-2020
03-30-2020, 05:23 PMTommySalami Wrote:But there were a couple of people locked into other roles.03-30-2020, 05:15 PMMutedfaith Wrote: Not a 1 in 12 chance, more like a 1 in 5.
And still, the wolves had a better chance of killing a villager with a useful role.
There was 12 other players other than Durden, Segi was dead and he saw RED and Fisher. So more like 1/10 I'm sorry. If he catches a wolf that doesn't matter. He needs to catch the alpha.
RE: Werewolf Game 9 - TnlAstatine - 03-30-2020
03-30-2020, 05:15 PMjfisherr Wrote:03-30-2020, 05:04 PMnotoriousTRON Wrote: Let's entertain this for a minute as if it were true.
Durden blocked Tommy and the Wolves chose not to kill. The would be a smart play since the wolves knew the escort would try to block someone and they could just frame whoever he blocked.
At that point Muted can claim seer and rattle off into that we already have. Segi a wolf (he's dead now so what does it matter), Tron and Fish are villagers, TNL as turncoat is the random call out but the real turncloak obviously wouldn't dispute that. Muted knows that it will legitimize his Seer claim to give new information so he gives one that no one would dare dispute.
Am I missing anything here?
Will someone besides the accused wolves and turncloak poke holes in this?
No, this is exactly the correct line of thinking we should consider. Would be an elite wolf move to make. I’m trying to get @TnlAstatine to make any claim but all he keeps saying is that he was trying to help which is to be expected, it’s not like he’s gonna admit he’s the turncoat, but damnit tell me who u are Luff!!!
I think I know who doc is atm but gonna keep that to myself.
I think Muted is indeed the Seer, making that claim is waaaay too bold as it could easily be disputed and backfire, exactly like Segi’s did, and he was first to vote for Segi I believe.
If Tommy is indeed not alpha and the wolves made a huge play, who do we think is the alpha?
im vanillager, again i've claimed this the whole time
i think the alpha is one of the more quite people in this thread.
its convenient muted put me as turncoat after attacking me all fucking game for literally no reason each and every single day lynch vote.
RE: Werewolf Game 9 - Sean - 03-30-2020
I'm also 90% sure we've got a villager in @"スウェグキング" on the chopping block
RE: Werewolf Game 9 - fishy - 03-30-2020
03-30-2020, 05:49 PMTommySalami Wrote: I'm also 90% sure we've got a villager in @"スウェグキング" on the chopping block
What makes you say that?
RE: Werewolf Game 9 - fishy - 03-30-2020
03-30-2020, 05:39 PMTnlAstatine Wrote: im vanillager, again i've claimed this the whole time
i think the alpha is one of the more quite people in this thread.
its convenient muted put me as turncoat after attacking me all fucking game for literally no reason each and every single day lynch vote.
From what I saw, I don’t think muted voted for you until after the third day, when he would’ve seen you were the turncoat. Correct me if I’m wrong though, I couldn’t see anything. He was for Segi to be lynched up until day 2 so
RE: Werewolf Game 9 - TnlAstatine - 03-30-2020
03-30-2020, 06:04 PMjfisherr Wrote:03-30-2020, 05:39 PMTnlAstatine Wrote: im vanillager, again i've claimed this the whole time
i think the alpha is one of the more quite people in this thread.
its convenient muted put me as turncoat after attacking me all fucking game for literally no reason each and every single day lynch vote.
From what I saw, I don’t think muted voted for you until after the third day, when he would’ve seen you were the turncoat. Correct me if I’m wrong though, I couldn’t see anything. He was for Segi to be lynched up until day 2 so
since day one he has me under the bus, before night one
RE: Werewolf Game 9 - TnlAstatine - 03-30-2020
and again i was voting for segi too (if we still believe he was actually a wolf)
RE: Werewolf Game 9 - Nhamlet - 03-30-2020
03-30-2020, 05:49 PMTommySalami Wrote: I'm also 90% sure we've got a villager in @"スウェグキング" on the chopping block
I'm inclined to think that he's more of a wolf than I am but better confirmed if muted is the seer than hung on my part. Except that's only hoping that muted really is the seer.
RE: Werewolf Game 9 - Samsung virtual assistant - 03-30-2020
Oh wow that escalated quickly against me. I sure hope y'all know what youre doing, lol. I'm not a wolf, turncoat or vanilla villager. Not sure if me revealing my role would do much as there's no real way of proving it. It seems kind of sealed though, depending on if Durden is really the escort(which i do believe after his hints earlier, if not RIP.)
RE: Werewolf Game 9 - Samsung virtual assistant - 03-30-2020
I would suggest seering me tonight and blocking the alpha, we should still have time. I think thats the only way you'll believe me, lol.
RE: Werewolf Game 9 - Durden - 03-30-2020
I can't block the Alpha until tomorrow night.
Muted seers someone, doc protects muted.
Either WWs go after muted, or me. They can't eat all three (me, seer, doc)
We'll see how the night plays out.
Still wishing we had a lookout. We'd be able to find out if they can corroborate any claims.
RE: Werewolf Game 9 - hockeyiscool - 03-30-2020
03-30-2020, 06:59 PMスウェグキング Wrote: Oh wow that escalated quickly against me. I sure hope y'all know what youre doing, lol. I'm not a wolf, turncoat or vanilla villager. Not sure if me revealing my role would do much as there's no real way of proving it. It seems kind of sealed though, depending on if Durden is really the escort(which i do believe after his hints earlier, if not RIP.)might as well throw your role into the ring. otherwise you're dead and what good does that cause you?
RE: Werewolf Game 9 - fishy - 03-30-2020
03-30-2020, 08:10 PMhockeyiscool Wrote:I mean we can pivot to nham for a night while muted eyes up dayude03-30-2020, 06:59 PMスウェグキング Wrote: Oh wow that escalated quickly against me. I sure hope y'all know what youre doing, lol. I'm not a wolf, turncoat or vanilla villager. Not sure if me revealing my role would do much as there's no real way of proving it. It seems kind of sealed though, depending on if Durden is really the escort(which i do believe after his hints earlier, if not RIP.)might as well throw your role into the ring. otherwise you're dead and what good does that cause you?
RE: Werewolf Game 9 - fishy - 03-30-2020
03-30-2020, 08:23 PMjfisherr Wrote:03-30-2020, 08:10 PMhockeyiscool Wrote: might as well throw your role into the ring. otherwise you're dead and what good does that cause you?I mean we can pivot to nham for a night while muted eyes up dayude
Think I may have an idea of grum and dayude tho if they actually have roles, do we know if nham has claimed to be anything?