03-26-2020, 07:10 PMGeekusoid Wrote:

03-26-2020, 07:06 PMRomanesEuntDomus Wrote: No.


You seem to assume that we are guaranteed to get the wrong person with the lynching, which I don't agree with at all. And even if we picked the wrong person we a) get some info in the process and b) he can still survive if he makes a good case for himself, for example by hinting at a role, and we decide to retract our votes. The chances of actually hitting a crucial role like the Seer with this are much, much slimmer than hitting a Wolf, and the Seer could still reveal himself in that case and survive. My main point is, if we don't do anything tonight, then how are we in any better situation to make a decision tomorrow? Or is it like the new "meta" of the game to play it suuuuuper slow, avoid lynchings altogether and just hope that all the important roles gather information faster than the wolves kill ppl over night?

And yeah I know that there are more investigatory roles but the Seer is the only really reliable one imho, as the lookout and escort only work in very limited capacity. Plus we don't know how many of these three roles are even in the game, while we are guaranteed to have 4-5 wolves. And regarding the snipes, I've seen quite a lot of those in the past tbh, not just from the Executioner but also from Jesters or people with other roles who just prefer to play a "wildcard" style of game, be it wolf or villager.

Just to make it clear, I'm not absolutely dead set on lynching anything right away, I just generally think it's the smarter approach. We already getting some info just by talking about it, like arty making some good logical points even if I might not agree with all of them.

So what your saying is....going for a lynching, we statistically have a better chance of a werewolf than not?

No not at all, but even if we decide on the wrong guy initially then that person can still get out alive if he manages to change our mind before the final vote. The threat of a lynching can be more useful than the lynching itself, as I say for me this is all about the info, not the killing itself. Statistically we won't have a better chance of getting a WW than a villager with a lynching until very late in the game when the WWs have basically won, does that mean we should just refrain from doing it until then? That's a recipe for desaster imho as it is based on two many prerequisites working in our favor: a) Lots of investigatory roles being in the game who b) do not get killed off and c) get lucky and find not one but multiple wolves.