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Maine and the parity in the SMJHL
#1
(This post was last modified: 10-30-2022, 10:34 PM by JURT.)

Congratulations to @SouthPaw and the Maine Timber for winning the Four-Star Cup. After coming into the playoffs without a division-winner bye to the 2nd round, they managed to make it all the way to the top. Which brought me the question: is this the first time since we adopted a playoff format where the division winners get byes to the 2nd round? Then I looked at the standings and realized there were only 32 points between positions 1 and 10 in the standings.

So let's roll it back. The playoffs format changed in S55 when QCC and NBB joined the league, so we'll look at every season since then. We'll also look where a 30 points difference from the top would land your team in those seasons that were in the 66-games format.


12 Teams, 50 Games Era

S55 - 50 games
Champions: Berserkers
2nd round bye: Yes
League Standings: 1st

S56 - 50 games
Champions: Whalers
2nd round bye: Yes
League Standings: 1st


12 Teams, 66 Games Era

S57
Champions: Armada
2nd round bye: Yes
League Standings: 2nd
First place: Citadelles 107 Points
First place - 30 points: #4 Knights 78 points | #5 Falcons 73 points

S58
Champions: Citadelles
2nd round bye: Yes
League Standings: 2nd
First place: Knights 109 Points
First place - 30 points: #4 Falcons 85 points | #5 Armada 75 points

S59
Champions: Knights
2nd round bye: Yes
League Standings: 1st
First place: Knights 102 Points
First place - 30 points: #5 Raptors 78 points | #6 Citadelles 70 points

S60
Champions: Berserkers
2nd round bye: Yes
League Standings: 1st
First place: Berserkers 115 Points
First place - 30 points: #3 Armada 95 points | #4 Citadelles 78 points


14 Teams, 66 Games Era

S61
Champions: Whalers
2nd round bye: Yes
League Standings: 1st
First place: Whalers 105 Points
First place - 30 points: #6 Armada 77 points | #7 Knights 71 points
14th place: Falcons 41 points


S62
Champions: Berserkers
2nd round bye: Yes
League Standings: 3rd
First place: Whalers/Armada 96 Points
First place - 30 points: #10 Citadelles 78 points | #11 Outlaws 45 points
14th place: Falcons 14 points

S63
Champions: Berserkers
2nd round bye: Yes
League Standings: 1st
First place: Berserkers 118 Points
First place - 30 points: #3 Grizzlies 86 points
14th place: Scarecrows 24 points

S64
Champions: Berserkers
2nd round bye: Yes
League Standings: 1st
First place: Berserkers 115 Points
First place - 30 points: #6 Timber 83 points | #7 Elk 72 points
14th place: Whalers/Armada 31 points

S65
Champions: Falcons
2nd round bye: Yes
League Standings: 1st
First place: Falcons 120 Points
First place - 30 points: #4 Battleborn 89 points
14th place: Whalers 30 points

S66
Champions: Battleborn
2nd round bye: Yes
League Standings: 1st
First place: Battleborn 102 Points
First place - 30 points: #7 Scarecrows 75 points | #8 Timber 71 points
14th place: Knights 36 points

S67
Champions: Timber
2nd round bye: NO
League Standings: 4th
First place: Citadelles 90 Points
First place - 30 points: #10 Armada 68 points | #11 Kraken/Knights 54 points
14th place: Berserkers 35 points


In conclusion

The Timber is the first team in SMJHL History to win the Four-Star Cup after playing through four rounds of playoffs hockey. As they came in the playoffs 4th in league standings, they are also lowest ranked team in the FHM era to win the Four-Star Cup. Two teams won the 4-Star after finishing the season 2nd overall (ANC in S57 and QCC in S58), and two teams did it after finishing 3rd (CAR in S54 and NL in S62). The other 8 Four-Star champions of the FHM era were also the regular season Champions.

Furthermore, we can see that there was only in one season prior to this one in which a 30-points range from 1st overall would span over the top half of the standings, which was the season after the expansion that saw the Elk and Grizzlies join the league, which would explain it as an outlier instead of the result of systematic changes.

It is early to call the results of this season the irrefutable success of recent changes by J HO to bring more parity to the league (removing 4th lines, removing 5th season of J eligibility, Waivers system), but as many people this season (like every season) things didn't go my way and I try to find comfort in the fact that things are looking very good for competitiveness and parity in the SMJHL.

Thanks for coming to my 820 words TED Talk, ready to grade.

[Image: lespoils.gif]
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#2

can someone do this in a tik tok version where they stare at the camera and split it into like 3 10 word slides

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#3

Nice deep dive right off the final sim! Those NL teams were crazy

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[Image: Hunter.png]
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#4

Great writeup Just!

[img=0x0]https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/889201044154904606/1150524829653536909/mikko.png?ex=65bff03f&is=65ad7b3f&hm=7f3229285f883239ca6017785e905ed3ff0a8b42b94f57638f43c11a5e635414&[/img][img=0x0]https://simulationhockey.com/tradingcards/4028.png[/img][img=0x0]https://simulationhockey.com/tradingcards/5431.png[/img][img=0x0]https://simulationhockey.com/tradingcards/5570.png[/img][img=0x0]https://simulationhockey.com/tradingcards/7241.png[/img][img=0x0]https://simulationhockey.com/tradingcards/5906.png[/img][img=0x0]https://simulationhockey.com/tradingcards/6149.png[/img][img=0x0]https://simulationhockey.com/tradingcards/7950.png[/img]
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#5

I joined mid-season. I thought the waiver process was related to the current standing. I remember that Maine was 13th in the standings, or something close to that. They had an amazing second half of the season. Congratulations!
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