So, Week 0 I said eh? Indeed, from the thing I intended to do weekly, I have almost instantly missed the first week and then gave up instead of trying to catch up. However, I still think there is some wisdom we can take from my predictions, and this is going to be the first of the two articles I intend to release before the season starts – one looking back, one looking forward.

Anyway the article writing went, welcome to the look-back to my S75 prediction. I was strictly looking at the regular season for that one, so playoffs aren’t interesting to us (congratulations LAP, by the way). I was interested in seeing whether I was right, where I was wrong, and how much I missed my mark by.

Pacific Division
Predicted order – EDM / LAP / SFP / CGY / SEA
Actual order – EDM / LAP / SFP / CGY / SEA

As for the first division, it’s a hundo! This wasn’t a hard one to predict, however I did get somewhat lucky with the prediction for first – LAP struggled out of the gates a little, and didn’t find their world beating form fast enough to get past EDM in the standings, so my prediction was correct by about 3 sims. If LAP realized themselves sooner, I would look a bit more foolish. Other than these two though, the other 3 predictions don’t seem even close to not coming true. SFP was still struggling to convert TPE into regular season points, and then ran into the wall of LAP, CGY wasn’t close to SFP either, and was therefore somewhat destined to face the division winner, and predictably lost that series, and Seattle put up a 7 win season as everyone who had two eyes expected. This division seemed relatively solved even back before the season started, and LAP wasn’t fast enough in their improvement to disassemble my prediction entirely. So, good job CoA.

Central Division
Predicted order – WPG / TEX / MIN / NOLA / CHI
Actual order – TEX / WPG / NOLA / CHI / MIN

I won’t lie, this division seemed a lot like Pacific, quite solved and expectable, yet here I sit with a slight egg on my head. The bottom 3 spots are a lot closer than I might have anticipated, especially with how not very impressive CHI’s roster looked, and I think that they have proven to be the biggest surprise of this division. You could argue that Minnesota being last is the biggest surprise, but with the matchup between NOLA and MIN expected to be close-ish, all that really happened is that Minnesota lost what I expected would be a close fight, and then got shocked by CHI sneaking in a performance of their lifetime coaching wise. As for the top two – again, a fight I was not very sure about who would top, and a fight I called for WPG on the basis of recency bias more than actual analysis. Texas wound up on top with a comfortabl-ish lead of 9 points, so my expectation of a close experience here wasn’t wrong, just went the way I didn’t expect it would. Overall, this is nowhere near as good of a job as Pacific was, but it’s not a complete disaster. (I am probably massively biased and trying to find excuses. Yes I know. Shut up)

Atlantic Division
Predicted order – PHI / BAP / ATL / TBB / MAN
Actual order – PHI / BAP / ATL / TBB / MAN

I called Atlantic my home...because it is, but also proved it by being just overall right on what would happen, at least final standings wise. I expected 1 and 2 to be close, and it was, with Philly and Baltimore separated by 4 points. I called ATL lacking in TPE, but still likely competetive, and being 10 points off of BAP is probably roughly what that would have looked like in my mind when I wrote that. If anything, I probably expected Baltimore to be closer to Atlanta than to Philly, so good on them for beating my prediction the positive way for themselves, at least a little bit. I called Tampa young and inexperienced, and pinned that as the reason they would end 4th, and while I can’t claim that is the actual reason for it, Tampa end 10 points further behind ATL roughly in their expected position. Manhattan being clearly 5th is not the hardest thing to guess, and while signs of life showed the team from Big Apple isn’t dead in the water anymore, Manhattan is a pretty substantial 26 points out of 4th and likely not gaining much ground on Tampa TPE wise either. I think the prediction here was pretty good, and I would consider this another job well done.

North East Division
Predicted order – NEW / HAM / BUF / TOR / MTL
Actual order – NEW / BUF / HAM / TOR / MTL

So, North East. The division I was completely unsure about for the top 3, somehow ended up being a pretty good call by me. NEW, HAM and BUF are separated by 3 points (HAM and BUF are actually separated by 0 points, BUF wins on ROW), so the prediction is basically correct, yet it could have gone wildly wrong. Toronto and Montreal stayed in the expected positions, Toronto still with a pretty decent gap to cover before entering the fight up top and Montreal a point of discussion about whether the league should allow tanks to be this severe, but the fight of the top 3 was quite a wild ride, something I kind of expected based off of how close these teams were to each other. The funny thing is, NEW’s start to the season was so catastrophic that this absolutely wasn’t the expected result about a week in, when NEW was actively competing for spots around CGY and MAN, not at the top of their division, so here, the recovery that almost ruined my Pacific prediction helped me hit the North East prediction by happening that little bit sooner.

So, you are at the end. Expect the S76 Week 0 article to come out after the preseason sims are done, and hopefully, be actually followed by weeks 1-4. Until then, see ya.

Manhattan Rage | General Manager

thanks Sulovilen for the sig!
D | Great Falls Grizzlies | Player Page | Update Page


S46 | Andrej Doskocil | Old-school defenseman | Peak 1579 TPE | Retired
Drafted 32nd overall to the Halifax Raiders in S45 SMJHL Draft
S45|50 GP 1G/10A/11P 92 hits 48 SBs
S46|50 GP 2G/24A/26P 115 hits 57 SBs
S47|42 GP 6G/12A/18P 76 hits 48 SBs
Traded to Detroit Falcons
S47|8 GP 0G/2A/2P 15 hits 7 SBs
Drafted 8th overall to the Manhattan Rage in S46 SHL Draft
S48|50 GP 2G/7A/9P 93 hits 42 SBs
S49|50 GP 3G/12A/15P 97 hits 66 SBs
S50|50 GP 3G/10A/13P 110 hits 70 SBs
S51|50 GP 1G/17A/18P 146 hits 48 SBs
S52|50 GP 2G/20A/22P 118 hits 56 SBs
Won Challenge Cup with Manhattan Rage
S53|50 GP 3G/15A/18P 286 hits 110 SBs
S54|50 GP 3G/12A/15P 303 hits 103 SBs
S55|50 GP 6G/21A/27P 86 hits 117 SBs
S56|50 GP 7G/24A/31P 88 hits 115 SBs
S57|66 GP 8G/23A/31P 110 hits 140 SBs
S58|66 GP 5G/11A/16P 111 hits 204 SBs
S59|66 GP 6G/13A/19P 99 hits 307 SBs
Total SMJHL RS - 150 GP 9G/46A/55P 298 hits 160 SBs
Total SHL RS - 648 GP 49G/185A/234P 1647 hits 1378 SBs
Total SHL playoffs - 68 GP 5G/25A/30P 147 hits 118 SBs



S61 | Archangelo Scaradog Jr. | Defenseman | 1240 TPE

Drafted 17th overall to the Newfoundland Berserkers in S60 SMJHL Draft
Traded to Maine Timber
Drafted 30th overall to the Manhattan Rage


S72 | Arnošt Hlemýžď | Defenseman | 155 TPE

i assure you CHI overperformed CHI expectations as well lol, and despite a later season trade of adelie de pengu we still pulled some late wins, if we never made that trade we would have been above NOLA