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PT #4 - Home Stretch
#1

THIS PT IS FOR SHL PLAYERS AND SEND DOWNS ONLY.

Scenario: The season is coming to a close, and there are still teams fighting to break into the playoffs.

Written Task: Determine which team has the most difficult schedule over the last 10 games of the season and explain why. Will this impact whether they make the playoffs at the end of the season? Minimum 150 words, justify your decision using at least two statistics, either individual or team-based.

Graphic Task: Pick the player you believe will have the greatest impact on their team making the playoffs in the last 10 games. Create a graphic containing a projection/prediction for their statistics by the end of the season. Must contain a player render, player name, team name, team logo, and at least five numerical statistics derived from the index.

You will be awarded 3 capped TPE for meeting all the requirements.

This PT will close Monday, November 6th, at 7 pm EST.

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#2

This is the first time ive really paid attention to an SHL playoff race and im guessing that i picked a great season to start as the East is turning out to be must see TV with 6 of the 7 teams in a playoff spot or within 2 points of one! This has the chance to be an epic final week of play!

Looking over the teams still in a playoff race, just about every schedule has some tough games and a few that they should win... but Manhatten's final 7 stood out a bit more as a schedule that would be difficult to overcome.

Manhattan Rage vs Winnipeg Jets
Toronto North Stars vs Manhattan Rage
Calgary Dragons vs Manhattan Rage
Manhattan Rage vs Hamilton Steelhawks
Buffalo Stampede vs Manhattan Rage
Manhattan Rage vs Hamilton Steelhawks
Winnipeg Jets vs Manhattan Rage

lets start off with the fact that the majority of the games will take place on the road. 5 of the 7 teams have a better record than Manhatten.. so there were no soft spots in this final stretch...also the next 7 start and end with Winnipeg, the leagues best overall team and not someone you want to see multiple times towards the end of a playoff race. They also have to take on a Calgary team that's playing its best hockey of the season, winners of 10 out of their last 14 games.

When you add all of this up.. the Rage are going to have to play great virtual hockey over the next week and beat some opponents that they are not expected to win if they are to make post season play.

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#3

Holding!



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#4

hollup

hold my phone

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artermis,Feb 2 2017, 04:11 PM Wrote:9gag pretty lit tho
#5

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#6

As of this time of this post, the Manhatten Rage currently sit 3 points of out a playoff spot, basically needing to run the table at this rate and hope the other team of their luck go against them to make it in to the playoffs. One of those games go against the Stampede who have a game in hand over the Wolfpack and the Rage. Over the last 10 games however they hold a sub par .500 record with 5 wins and 5 losses one of those losses came in OT to the bottem feeding Blizzard which should've been an easy win game. If they did win that guy they would sit tied with Buffalo with points with the advantage with ROW. As for myself I sit with a new career high with 17 goals to go along with 12 assists for 29 points in 47 games, which sets me on pace with the last three games to beat my rookie point total from last season of 31 which is good enough for 2nd in Rookie Scoring last season. CFJ really needs to amp up play along guys like Hans, Wollker, Aittokallio, Nuck, Monkey, Redding, Atmey and the grizzled veteran Sarantez in order for the Rage to not miss the playoffs for the 3rd season in a row.

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Crossfit's First Career SHL Goal, 4. Manhattan Rage , Crossfit Jesus 1 (Pedro Sarantez, Nucky Toohoots) at 5:51

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Devitt's First Career SHL Goal, 5. Calgary Dragons , Prince Devitt 1 (Barry Batsbak 21, Mike Izzy 14) at 10:43




#7

The eastern conference is has a 4 team race for the final two playoff spots – New England, Buffalo, Toronto and Manhattan and these 4 teams are only separated by just a mere 3 points. Toronto and New England have the easiest schedules out of the four, but play each other the next three games. Manhattan and Buffalo have the hardest schedules left – Manhattan faces a remaining strength of schedule of .530 while Buffalo is at .549 and that is one of the reasons why I think Buffalo has not only one of the most difficult schedules the rest of the way but also why they will not end up making the playoffs even though they have two games in hand.

Out of their remaining 11 games – Buffalo only has a winning record against Hamilton at 3-1 out of 6 total games. They are 6-8-1 against the teams they have left to play, while Manhattan is 10-9-1 and are done with Minnesota, Seattle, but have to play Winnipeg twice. Making matters worse for Buffalo, they will face Manhattan twice and Buffalo is only 1 and 3 against them. Buffalo has two games against the best team in the league in Seattle and the Riot will not take these games lightly because they are fighting for home ice advantage in the West. Buffalo also has two games against Minnesota in which they only have a shootout win in four games so far this season to go with 3 losses.

The two teams are pretty close in goals scored and given up, but Manhattan does have a special teams advantage over Buffalo in both power play percentage – 20 vs 17 and penalty killing – 85 vs 76 which will make things even more difficult for the Stampede to make the playoffs.
#8

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#9

In typical Toronto fashion - They leave it to the last minute to make or miss the playoffs. Currently they have 40 points and are in 5th place in the east. They are tied with Buffalo with 40 points, but Buffalo has 2 games in hand. Toronto's schedule only has 1 game against Hamilton, and the rest are against dominant teams, or teams fighting to get in. Unless the top teams mail it in for the last couple games, or maybe they catch a break with some back up games...it will be a tough climb.

Their schedule looks like this.
>3 in a row against New England - which are currently 2 points ahead. Very very very very important games which could make or break either team.
>Manhattan Rage which are 1 point behind, but have a game in hand.
>Buffalo Stampede - as mentioned before, tied in points but Big Buff has 2 games in hand.
>Hamilton - Yay!
>Buffalo again
>LA Panthers - In the West conference, but similar points situation. They are 5th place as well, with 42 points (2 more than Toronto)
>Buffalo Again.

That's a tough schedule. This schedule will definitely have an impact on who gets in as there are a lot of games centred around the teams trying to squeak in.
Good luck.
#10

The Edmonton Blizzard definitely have one of the toughest schedules do end the season. They play the bulk of their games against top playoffs teams. Eight of their 11 remaining games are against either the Riot, the Jets, the Dragons, or the Renegades. They then also play two games against the Panthers, who not currently in the playoffs will be battling hard to squeeze into the playoffs. Then the other game is against the Rage, who are one point out of the Eastern playoffs. I don't know how you can possibly get a harder schedule. The combined goal differential of the teams that they play is +74, with only two of the teams holding a negative differential. Then on top of that the Blizzard only have 11 wins all season, while the lowest amount of wins any of their upcoming opponents have is 19.

While not technically eliminated, they are basically eliminated. So, this difficult schedule shouldn't affect their chances at making it to the playoffs.

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#11

The teams with the hardest remaining schedules are Edmonton and San Francisco, by far. Unfortunately for these teams, they are already essentially eliminated - the Pride outright and the Blizzard would need to win all 11 of their remaining games without Calgary earning a single point in their last 9 and Los Angeles to earn 6 or fewer in their last 9.

After those two, Minnesota and Seattle have the next hardest schedules, though they're already pretty comfortable in their spots.

Among bubble teams - which we'll arbitrarily say are Calgary, Los Angeles, New England, Buffalo, Toronto, and Manhattan - the hardest remaining schedule is Buffalo's whose average remaining opponent averages 1.1 standings points per game played (basically a 44 point team as of writing) and wins 48% of their games in regulation or overtime. With the playoff race so tight in the east this could definitely play a role as the team Buffalo is tied with in points, Toronto, has a much easier schedule (1 point/game, 42% ROW).

The western conference looks to be wrapped up as Calgary has the easiest remaining schedule of any team, ending with an enviable 4 game stretch of Edmonton, San Francisco, San Francisco, Edmonton. LA's schedule is nearly as easy but making up 6 points in 9 games is a tall order.

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#12

on this report i focus on the los angeles panthers when this was written the panthers where sitting on 40 points and was a bubble team the schedule was the following:
279 New England Wolfpack vs. Los Angeles Panthers
291 Calgary Dragons vs. Los Angeles Panthers
300 San Francisco Pride vs. Los Angeles Panthers
305 Los Angeles Panthers vs. Calgary Dragons
313 Edmonton Blizzard vs. Los Angeles Panthers
318 Los Angeles Panthers vs. Winnipeg Jets
328 Edmonton Blizzard vs. Los Angeles Panthers
339 West Kendall Platoon vs. Los Angeles Panthers
341 Los Angeles Panthers vs. Toronto North Stars
346 Los Angeles Panthers vs. San Francisco Pride

the team up front of them was the calgary dragons standing at 44 points so the panthers need 2 more wins in the next 10 games as the dragons to reach some how the playoffs but they are playig against each other so this game need to be won for the panthers the schedule for the dragons seems to be alot easier they play two times against the blizzard and 3 times against the pride which are teams who are allready out of the playoff race so the fight for the playoffs for the panthers are pretty tough or maybe imposible i gues they will fall short out of the playoffs and will come back stronger next year for tsn this was ben eager

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#13

Putting my money on Toronto having the hardest schedule for this one. As of writing, the North Stars are sitting in fifth, trying to sneak everyone else for a spot in the dance--some of whom currently have two games in hand on them, including the Buffalo Stampede. Most of the schedule coming up for the Stars is fairly brutal--a lot of contenders and only a couple of games against clear losers.

Three games against New England--incredibly important for both teams, if New England can’t pull together some wins, they’re out. My prediction is a 2-1 Toronto win in the series. Four points for Toronto is incredibly helpful.

Three games against Buffalo, who they’re battling heavily for a spot. Both teams need these wins but obviously only one will be walking away with the points. For Toronto’s sake, they need to take these games to nullify the two games in hand that the Stampede have on them. Unlike NEW, I see Buffalo taking two of these games, maybe three.

And then one game a piece against Manhattan, Los Angeles, and Hamilton. Hamilton should, theoretically, be an easy win for the North Stars. LA is battling for a playoff spot in their conference, currently sitting in fifth in the West, so they’ll be putting up a serious fight for those two points. Manhattan, much like LA, have the opportunity to fight for a playoff spot, so don’t expect them to just give the game away to Toronto. Out of the teams, Toronto should get a win against Hamilton, and maybe LA, but Manhattan will likely give them trouble.

That’s nine games, six of which are against two teams that they’re really battling against. They’re going to need to really kick some ass if they even want a shot at the dance.

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#14

I'm going to say Hamilton has the most difficult path to make the playoffs, not really because of who they play in the next 11 games, but because of their current position in the standings. I decided to just skip over SFP and EDM, since SFP is already eliminated and EDM is basically eliminated already, the team that is the longest shot while still having a chance is HAM. Hamilton is 6 points out of the playoffs and would have to leapfrog 3 other teams to make it. Here are their remaining games this season:

64 289 Hamilton Steelhawks Minnesota Chiefs
67 297 Buffalo Stampede Hamilton Steelhawks
69 308 Hamilton Steelhawks New England Wolfpack
70 311 Buffalo Stampede Hamilton Steelhawks
72 321 Hamilton Steelhawks Toronto North Stars
73 324 Manhattan Rage Hamilton Steelhawks
74 332 Hamilton Steelhawks West Kendall Platoon
75 338 Manhattan Rage Hamilton Steelhawks
77 344 Hamilton Steelhawks New England Wolfpack
78 345 Hamilton Steelhawks West Kendall Platoon

Manhattan twice and Buffalo twice are really important here, both those teams are ahead of them in the standings and if they can win those 4 games it would make up a massive amount of ground on the teams they need to pass. They also play Toronto once, and NEW twice, unfortunately with this many teams pushing for 1-2 spots in the east, it's unlikely that Hamilton can turn it around without some massive games from Westbrook, Wozy, and Dover, their top 3 players.

Hamilton has a solid record against these important teams to beat, they are 3-1-1 against Toronto so far this season, 2-1-1 against Manhattan, and 2-1-1 against NEW. If they can keep up those trends down the stretch, they've got a shot.

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#15

It's easy to say that the team at the bottom of the league will have the most difficulty winning games at the end of the season, but the Edmonton Blizzard really do have a tough road ahead of them. Lucky for them, we're nearing the end of the season, so it'll be a short road. In the final ten games, the Blizzard face 5 teams, playing each of them twice. Over the course of the season so far, they've played these teams 4 times each. That's a total of 20 games played, and in those 20 games, the Blizzard have lost 15 of them. Giving them a little bit of credit, three of those losses were shootout losses, but that only dulls the pain a little bit. The five teams they'll play are the Seattle Riot (lost 3 of 4 games), the Winnipeg Jets (lost 3 of 4 games, 1 SO loss), the Los Angeles Panthers (lost 3 of 4 games, 1 SO loss), the Calgary Dragons (lost 2 of 4 games), and the Texas Renegades (lost 4 of 4 games, 1 SO loss). Though the Blizzard haven't been eliminated from a shot at the playoffs yet, it's likely only a matter of time. Out of 39 games played, they've won 11 total, and 4 of those 11 games either went to overtime or to the shootout. This team has not looked great this season, and the Blizzard players are probably pulling their golf clubs out of storage as we speak.

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